What will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index be?
US Consumer Price Index Yearly November 2026 · November 2026 · Trading open
- Above 3.5%$358 vol.89%
- Above 3.6%$2.7K vol.82%
- Above 3.7%$2.5K vol.72%
- Above 3.8%$3.1K vol.60%
- Above 3.9%$1.4K vol.48%
- Above 4%$932 vol.35%
- Above 4.1%$210 vol.21%
- Above 4.2%$9 vol.17%
Show all 31 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 4.3%$7 vol.13%
- Above 1.3%—
- Above 1.4%—
- Above 1.5%—
- Above 1.6%—
- Above 1.7%—
- Above 1.8%—
- Above 1.9%—
- Above 2.1%—
- Above 2.2%—
- Above 2.3%—
- Above 2.4%—
- Above 2.5%—
- Above 2.6%—
- Above 2.7%—
- Above 2.8%—
- Above 2.9%—
- Above 2%—
- Above 3.1%—
- Above 3.2%—
- Above 3.3%—
- Above 3.4%—
- Above 3%—
About this market
Traders price Above 3.5% at 89%, ahead of Above 3.6% at 82%.
The market has $11.2K in volume across 260 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 10, 2026. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 3.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.5% in November 2026.
- Above 3.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.6% in November 2026.
- Above 3.7%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.7% in November 2026.
- Above 3.8%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.8% in November 2026.
- Above 3.9%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.9% in November 2026.
- Above 4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 4% in November 2026.
Show rules for all 31 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 4.1%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 4.1% in November 2026? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
- Above 4.2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 4.2% in November 2026? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
- Above 4.3%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 4.3% in November 2026? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
- Above 1.3%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 1.3% in November 2026.
- Above 1.4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 1.4% in November 2026.
- Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 1.5% in November 2026.
- Above 1.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 1.6% in November 2026.
- Above 1.7%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 1.7% in November 2026.
- Above 1.8%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 1.8% in November 2026.
- Above 1.9%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 1.9% in November 2026.
- Above 2.1%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 2.1% in November 2026.
- Above 2.2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 2.2% in November 2026.
- Above 2.3%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 2.3% in November 2026.
- Above 2.4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 2.4% in November 2026.
- Above 2.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 2.5% in November 2026.
- Above 2.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 2.6% in November 2026.
- Above 2.7%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 2.7% in November 2026.
- Above 2.8%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 2.8% in November 2026.
- Above 2.9%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 2.9% in November 2026.
- Above 2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 2% in November 2026.
- Above 3.1%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.1% in November 2026.
- Above 3.2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.2% in November 2026.
- Above 3.3%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.3% in November 2026.
- Above 3.4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.4% in November 2026.
- Above 3%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3% in November 2026.
Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Trading opened
- Sep 11, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 10, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 10, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 10, 2026
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Closes Jan 12, 2028
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.