Prices & Inflation

What will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index be?

US Consumer Price Index Yearly December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$2.2K vol.
Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

Traders price -1.0 at 99%, ahead of 1.0 at 96%.

The market has $2.2K in volume across 354 trades; the most recent was on Oct 19, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 13, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • -1.0Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds -1% in December 2026.
  • 1.0Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 1% in December 2026.
  • 2.0Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 2% in December 2026.
  • 3.0Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3% in December 2026.
  • 0.0Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 0% in December 2026.
  • 4.0Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 4% in December 2026.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • 5.0Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 5% in December 2026.
  • Above 6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 6% in December 2026.
  • Above 7%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 7% in December 2026.

Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Trading opened
Jan 15, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 13, 2027
Expected result
Jan 13, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 13, 2027

More US Consumer Price Index Yearly markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.