Prices & Inflation
What will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index be?
US Consumer Price Index Yearly January 2027 · January 2027 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Feb 11, 2027, 8:30 AM ET. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 3.2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.2% in January 2027? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
- Above 3.4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.4% in January 2027? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
- Above 3.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.6% in January 2027? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
- Above 3.8%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 3.8% in January 2027? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
- Above 4.2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 4.2% in January 2027? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
- Above 4.4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 4.4% in January 2027? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
Show rules for all 9 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 4.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 4.6% in January 2027? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
- Above 4.8%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 4.8% in January 2027? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
- Above 4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceeds 4% in January 2027? (inflation) (cost of living) (price growth).
Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Trading opened
- Nov 9, 2026
- Trading closes
- Feb 11, 2027, 8:30 AM ET
- Expected result
- Feb 11, 2027
- Expected payout
- Feb 11, 2027
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.