Sentiment Surveys

What will the US Consumer Sentiment Index be?

US Consumer Sentiment January 2027 · January 2027 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jan 22, 2027. The result is confirmed by University of Michigan.

The US Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS), as provided by the University of Michigan, tracks consumer sentiment in the US, based on surveys on random samples of US households.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 40Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 40 in January 2027? (UMich) (confidence) (households).
  • Above 42Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 42 in January 2027? (UMich) (confidence) (households).
  • Above 44Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 44 in January 2027? (UMich) (confidence) (households).
  • Above 46Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 46 in January 2027? (UMich) (confidence) (households).
  • Above 48Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 48 in January 2027? (UMich) (confidence) (households).
  • Above 50Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 50 in January 2027? (UMich) (confidence) (households).
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 52Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 52 in January 2027? (UMich) (confidence) (households).
  • Above 54Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 54 in January 2027? (UMich) (confidence) (households).
  • Above 56Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 56 in January 2027? (UMich) (confidence) (households).

Result confirmed by University of Michigan.

Trading opened
Oct 15, 2026
Trading closes
Jan 22, 2027
Expected result
Jan 22, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 22, 2027

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.