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What will the US Consumer Sentiment Index be?

US Consumer Sentiment December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$528 vol.
Show all 16 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above 38 at 96%, ahead of Above 40 at 96%.

The market has $528 in volume across 146 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 18, 2026. The result is confirmed by University of Michigan.

The US Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS), as provided by the University of Michigan, tracks consumer sentiment in the US, based on surveys on random samples of US households.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 38Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 38 in December 2026.
  • Above 40Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 40 in December 2026.
  • Above 42Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 42 in December 2026.
  • Above 44Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 44 in December 2026.
  • Above 46Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 46 in December 2026.
  • Above 48Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 48 in December 2026.
Show rules for all 16 outcomes
  • Above 50Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 50 in December 2026.
  • Above 52Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 52 in December 2026.
  • Above 54Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 54 in December 2026.
  • Above 56Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 56 in December 2026.
  • Above 58Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 58 in December 2026.
  • Above 60Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 60 in December 2026.
  • Above 62Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 62 in December 2026.
  • Above 64Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 64 in December 2026.
  • Above 66Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 66 in December 2026.
  • Above 68Resolves Yes if the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceeds 68 in December 2026.

Result confirmed by University of Michigan.

Trading opened
Nov 3, 2025
Trading closes
Dec 18, 2026
Expected result
Dec 18, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 18, 2026

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.