Open an account
Oil & Energy

California Coal Electricity Generation October 2026

California Coal Electricity Generation October 2026 · October 2026 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Dec 22, 2026. The result is confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Total net generation of electricity by coal in California, as reported in the Electric Power Monthly by the Energy Information Administration. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/fossil-fuels.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 1Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 1 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during October 2026? (power output) (fossil fuel) (grid)?” is yes.
  • 2Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 2 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during October 2026? (power output) (fossil fuel) (grid)?” is yes.
  • 3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 3 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during October 2026? (power output) (fossil fuel) (grid)?” is yes.
  • 4Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 4 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during October 2026? (power output) (fossil fuel) (grid)?” is yes.
  • 5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 5 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during October 2026? (power output) (fossil fuel) (grid)?” is yes.
  • 6Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 6 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during October 2026? (power output) (fossil fuel) (grid)?” is yes.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • 7Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 7 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during October 2026? (power output) (fossil fuel) (grid)?” is yes.
  • 8Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 8 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during October 2026? (power output) (fossil fuel) (grid)?” is yes.
  • 9Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 9 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during October 2026? (power output) (fossil fuel) (grid)?” is yes.

Result confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Trading opened
Sep 28, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 22, 2026
Expected result
Dec 22, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 22, 2026

More California Coal Electricity Generation markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.