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Oil & Energy

California Coal Electricity Generation December 2026

California Coal Electricity Generation December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$941 vol.
Show all 14 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 4 at 36%, ahead of 8 at 33%.

The market has $941 in volume across 267 trades; the most recent was on May 22, 2026.

Trading closes on Feb 27, 2027. The result is confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Total net generation of electricity by coal in California, as reported in the Electric Power Monthly by the Energy Information Administration. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/fossil-fuels.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 4Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 4 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 8Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 8 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 12Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 12 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 14Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 14 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 16Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 16 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 18Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 18 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
Show rules for all 14 outcomes
  • 20Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 20 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 22Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 22 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 24Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 24 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 26Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 26 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 28Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 28 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 30Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 30 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 32Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 32 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 36Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will coal generate more than 36 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.

Result confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Trading opened
Nov 25, 2025
Trading closes
Feb 27, 2027
Expected result
Feb 27, 2027
Expected payout
Feb 27, 2027

More California Coal Electricity Generation markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.