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Oil & Energy

California Nuclear Energy Electricity Generation December 2026

California Nuclear Energy Electricity Generation December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$278 vol.
Show all 13 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 1380 at 60%, ahead of 1480 at 52%.

The market has $278 in volume across 79 trades; the most recent was on Aug 4, 2026.

Trading closes on Feb 27, 2027. The result is confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Total net generation of electricity by nuclear energy in California, as reported in the Electric Power Monthly by the Energy Information Administration. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/electricity-renewables.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 1380Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 1,380 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 1480Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 1,480 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 1580Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 1,580 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 1780Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 1,780 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 1980Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 1,980 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 1880Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 1,880 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
Show rules for all 13 outcomes
  • 2080Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 2,080 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 1180Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 1,180 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 1680Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 1,680 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 2180Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 2,180 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 2280Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 2,280 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 580Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 580 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 880Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will nuclear energy generate more than 880 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.

Result confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Trading opened
Nov 25, 2025
Trading closes
Feb 27, 2027
Expected result
Feb 27, 2027
Expected payout
Feb 27, 2027

More California Nuclear Energy Electricity Generation markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.