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Oil & Energy

California Renewable Energy Electricity Generation December 2026

California Renewable Energy Electricity Generation December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$2K vol.
Show all 12 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 4300 at 89%, ahead of 4500 at 85%.

The market has $2K in volume across 451 trades; the most recent was on Jun 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Feb 27, 2027. The result is confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Total net generation of electricity by renewable energy sources in California, as reported in the Electric Power Monthly by the Energy Information Administration. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/electricity-renewables.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 4300Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 4,300 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 4500Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 4,500 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 4700Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 4,700 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 4100Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 4,100 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 4900Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 4,900 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 5100Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 5,100 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
Show rules for all 12 outcomes
  • 5300Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 5,300 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 5500Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 5,500 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 5700Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 5,700 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 3700Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 3,700 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 3900Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 3,900 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.
  • 5900Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will renewable energy sources generate more than 5,900 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?” is yes.

Result confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Trading opened
Nov 25, 2025
Trading closes
Feb 27, 2027
Expected result
Feb 27, 2027
Expected payout
Feb 27, 2027

More California Renewable Energy Electricity Generation markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.