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Who will win the Arkansas 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

AR-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Rick Crawford96%
Terri Yarbrough Green3%
$919 vol.

About this market

Traders price Rick Crawford at 96% to win, ahead of Terri Yarbrough Green at 3%.

The market has $919 in volume across 21 trades; the most recent was on Sep 18, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 18, 2026. The result is confirmed by Arkansas Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Arkansas 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Rick CrawfordResolves Yes if Rick Crawford wins the Arkansas 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Terri Yarbrough GreenResolves Yes if Terri Yarbrough Green wins the Arkansas 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Arkansas Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 18, 2026
Expected result
Dec 18, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 18, 2026

More Arkansas elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.