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Who will win the Michigan 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

MI-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Jack Bergman87%
Callie Barr16%
$329 vol.

About this market

Traders price Jack Bergman at 87% to win, ahead of Callie Barr at 16%.

The market has $329 in volume across 10 trades; the most recent was on Jul 30, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Michigan Secretary of State Elections Bureau.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Michigan 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Jack BergmanResolves Yes if Jack Bergman wins the Michigan 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Callie BarrResolves Yes if Callie Barr wins the Michigan 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Michigan Secretary of State Elections Bureau.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 23, 2026
Expected result
Nov 23, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 23, 2026

More Michigan elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.