Who will win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
Michigan Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
About this market
Traders price Abdul El-Sayed at 71% to win, ahead of Mike Rogers at 34%.
The market has $91.3K in volume across 412 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Michigan Secretary of State Elections Bureau.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in Michigan, shaping national legislative representation.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Abdul El-SayedResolves Yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026.
- Mike RogersResolves Yes if Mike Rogers wins the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026.
- Mallory McMorrowResolves Yes if Mallory McMorrow wins the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026.
Result confirmed by Michigan Secretary of State Elections Bureau.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 23, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 23, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 23, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.