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Who will win the Montana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

MT-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Aaron Flint68%
Sam Forstag41%
$614 vol.

About this market

Traders price Aaron Flint at 68% to win, ahead of Sam Forstag at 41%.

The market has $614 in volume across 19 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 30, 2026. The result is confirmed by Montana Secretary of State Elections.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Montana 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Aaron FlintResolves Yes if Aaron Flint wins the Montana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Sam ForstagResolves Yes if Sam Forstag wins the Montana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Montana Secretary of State Elections.

Trading opened
Apr 28, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 30, 2026
Expected result
Nov 30, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 30, 2026

More Montana elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.