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Senate

Who will win the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026?

Montana Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Kurt Alme93%
Steve Daines71%
$2.9K vol.

About this market

Traders price Kurt Alme at 93% to win, ahead of Steve Daines at 71%.

The market has $2.9K in volume across 61 trades; the most recent was on Oct 19, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 30, 2026. The result is confirmed by Montana Secretary of State Elections.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in Montana, shaping national legislative representation.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Kurt AlmeResolves Yes if Kurt Alme wins the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Steve DainesResolves Yes if Steve Daines wins the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Alani BankheadResolves Yes if Alani Bankhead wins the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Seth BodnarResolves Yes if Seth Bodnar wins the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Reilly NeillResolves Yes if Reilly Neill wins the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026.

Result confirmed by Montana Secretary of State Elections.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 30, 2026
Expected result
Nov 30, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 30, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.