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Who will win the New Mexico 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

NM-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Melanie Ann Stansbury90%
Ndidiamaka Okpareke7%
$4K vol.

About this market

Traders price Melanie Ann Stansbury at 90% to win, ahead of Ndidiamaka Okpareke at 7%.

The market has $4K in volume across 58 trades; the most recent was on Oct 4, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 24, 2026. The result is confirmed by New Mexico Secretary of State.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in New Mexico 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Melanie Ann StansburyResolves Yes if Melanie Ann Stansbury wins the New Mexico 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Ndidiamaka OkparekeResolves Yes if Ndidiamaka Okpareke wins the New Mexico 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by New Mexico Secretary of State.

Trading opened
Jan 26, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 24, 2026
Expected result
Nov 24, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 24, 2026

More New Mexico elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.