Senate

Who will win the New Mexico general election for US Senate in 2026?

New Mexico Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Ben Ray Lujan98%
Matt Dodson6%
$908 vol.

About this market

Traders price Ben Ray Lujan at 98% to win, ahead of Matt Dodson at 6%.

The market has $908 in volume across 18 trades; the most recent was on Oct 11, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 24, 2026. The result is confirmed by New Mexico Secretary of State.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in New Mexico, shaping national legislative representation.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Ben Ray LujanResolves Yes if Ben Ray Lujan wins the New Mexico general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Matt DodsonResolves Yes if Matt Dodson wins the New Mexico general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Larry MarkerResolves Yes if Larry Marker wins the New Mexico general election for US Senate in 2026.

Result confirmed by New Mexico Secretary of State.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 24, 2026
Expected result
Nov 24, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 24, 2026

More New Mexico elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.