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Who will win the Oklahoma 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

OK-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

$2 vol.

About this market

Traders price Mark Tedford at 96% to win.

The market has $2 in volume across 2 trades; the most recent was on May 6, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 6, 2026. The result is confirmed by Oklahoma State Election Board.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Oklahoma 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Mark TedfordResolves Yes if Mark Tedford wins the Oklahoma 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • John CroisantResolves Yes if John Croisant wins the Oklahoma 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Oklahoma State Election Board.

Trading opened
Apr 18, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 6, 2026
Expected result
Nov 6, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 6, 2026

More Oklahoma elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.