Senate

Who will win the Oklahoma general election for US Senate in 2026?

Oklahoma Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

N'kiyla Jasmine Thomas4%
Markwayne Mullin3%
$3.8K vol.

About this market

Traders price N'kiyla Jasmine Thomas at 4% to win, ahead of Markwayne Mullin at 3%.

The market has $3.8K in volume across 99 trades; the most recent was on Jul 8, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 6, 2026. The result is confirmed by Oklahoma State Election Board.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in Oklahoma, shaping national legislative representation.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • N'kiyla Jasmine ThomasResolves Yes if N'kiyla Jasmine Thomas wins the Oklahoma general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Markwayne MullinResolves Yes if Markwayne Mullin wins the Oklahoma general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Kevin HernResolves Yes if Kevin Hern wins the Oklahoma general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • N'Kiyla ThomasResolves Yes if N'Kiyla Thomas wins the Oklahoma general election for US Senate in 2026.

Result confirmed by Oklahoma State Election Board.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 6, 2026
Expected result
Nov 6, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 6, 2026

More Oklahoma elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.