House
Who will win the Montana 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
MT-02 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
$612 vol.
About this market
Traders price Troy Downing at 92% to win.
The market has $612 in volume across 7 trades; the most recent was on Oct 14, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 30, 2026. The result is confirmed by Montana Secretary of State Elections.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Montana 2nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Troy DowningResolves Yes if Troy Downing wins the Montana 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Brian MillerResolves Yes if Brian Miller wins the Montana 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by Montana Secretary of State Elections.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 30, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 30, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 30, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.