Who will win the Tennessee 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
TN-02 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
About this market
Traders price Tim Burchett at 94% to win, ahead of Michaela Barnett at 4%.
The market has $896 in volume across 24 trades; the most recent was on Sep 18, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 5, 2026. The result is confirmed by Tennessee Secretary of State Elections Division.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Tennessee 2nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Tim BurchettResolves Yes if Tim Burchett wins the Tennessee 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Michaela BarnettResolves Yes if Michaela Barnett wins the Tennessee 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by Tennessee Secretary of State Elections Division.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 5, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 5, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 5, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.