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Senate

Who will win the Tennessee general election for US Senate in 2026?

Tennessee Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Bill Hagerty96%
Marquita Bradshaw3%
$826 vol.

About this market

Traders price Bill Hagerty at 96% to win, ahead of Marquita Bradshaw at 3%.

The market has $826 in volume across 12 trades; the most recent was on Sep 20, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 5, 2026. The result is confirmed by Tennessee Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in Tennessee, shaping national legislative representation.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Bill HagertyResolves Yes if Bill Hagerty wins the Tennessee general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Marquita BradshawResolves Yes if Marquita Bradshaw wins the Tennessee general election for US Senate in 2026.

Result confirmed by Tennessee Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 5, 2026
Expected result
Dec 5, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 5, 2026

More Tennessee elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.