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Who will win the Arkansas 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

AR-04 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Bruce Westerman96%
James Russell3%
$643 vol.

About this market

Traders price Bruce Westerman at 96% to win, ahead of James Russell at 3%.

The market has $643 in volume across 9 trades; the most recent was on Sep 18, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 18, 2026. The result is confirmed by Arkansas Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Arkansas 4th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Bruce WestermanResolves Yes if Bruce Westerman wins the Arkansas 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • James RussellResolves Yes if James Russell wins the Arkansas 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Arkansas Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 18, 2026
Expected result
Dec 18, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 18, 2026

More Arkansas elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.