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Who will win the Oklahoma 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

OK-04 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

$357 vol.

About this market

Traders price Tom Cole at 93% to win.

The market has $357 in volume across 4 trades; the most recent was on Sep 18, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 6, 2026. The result is confirmed by Oklahoma State Election Board.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Oklahoma 4th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Tom ColeResolves Yes if Tom Cole wins the Oklahoma 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Mitchell JacobResolves Yes if Mitchell Jacob wins the Oklahoma 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Oklahoma State Election Board.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 6, 2026
Expected result
Nov 6, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 6, 2026

More Oklahoma elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.