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Who will win the Minnesota 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

MN-05 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

$792 vol.

About this market

Traders price Ilhan Omar at 91% to win.

The market has $792 in volume across 9 trades; the most recent was on Aug 2, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 19, 2026. The result is confirmed by Minnesota Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Minnesota 5th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Ilhan OmarResolves Yes if Ilhan Omar wins the Minnesota 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • John NagelResolves Yes if John Nagel wins the Minnesota 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Minnesota Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 19, 2026
Expected result
Nov 19, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 19, 2026

More Minnesota elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.