Senate

Who will win the Minnesota general election for US Senate in 2026?

Minnesota Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Peggy Flanagan86%
Michele Tafoya14%
$1.5K vol.

About this market

Traders price Peggy Flanagan at 86% to win, ahead of Michele Tafoya at 14%.

The market has $1.5K in volume across 27 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 19, 2026. The result is confirmed by Minnesota Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in Minnesota, shaping national legislative representation.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Peggy FlanaganResolves Yes if Peggy Flanagan wins the Minnesota general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Michele TafoyaResolves Yes if Michele Tafoya wins the Minnesota general election for US Senate in 2026.

Result confirmed by Minnesota Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 19, 2026
Expected result
Nov 19, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 19, 2026

More Minnesota elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.