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Who will win the Oregon 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

OR-05 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Janelle Bynum91%
Patti Adair5%
$238 vol.

About this market

Traders price Janelle Bynum at 91% to win, ahead of Patti Adair at 5%.

The market has $238 in volume across 11 trades; the most recent was on Oct 7, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 10, 2026. The result is confirmed by Oregon Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Oregon 5th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Janelle BynumResolves Yes if Janelle Bynum wins the Oregon 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Patti AdairResolves Yes if Patti Adair wins the Oregon 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Oregon Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 10, 2026
Expected result
Dec 10, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 10, 2026

More Oregon elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.