Senate
Who will win the Oregon general election for US Senate in 2026?
Oregon Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
Jeff Merkley98%
David Brock Smith3%$1K vol.
About this market
Traders price Jeff Merkley at 98% to win, ahead of David Brock Smith at 3%.
The market has $1K in volume across 14 trades; the most recent was on Oct 11, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 10, 2026. The result is confirmed by Oregon Secretary of State Elections Division.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in Oregon, shaping national legislative representation.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Jeff MerkleyResolves Yes if Jeff Merkley wins the Oregon general election for US Senate in 2026.
- David Brock SmithResolves Yes if David Brock Smith wins the Oregon general election for US Senate in 2026.
Result confirmed by Oregon Secretary of State Elections Division.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 10, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 10, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 10, 2026
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994 open interest
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.