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Who will win the Tennessee 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

TN-05 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Charlie Hatcher92%
Chaz Molder8%
$292 vol.

About this market

Traders price Charlie Hatcher at 92% to win, ahead of Chaz Molder at 8%.

The market has $292 in volume across 11 trades; the most recent was on Oct 21, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 5, 2026. The result is confirmed by Tennessee Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Tennessee 5th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Charlie HatcherResolves Yes if Charlie Hatcher wins the Tennessee 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Chaz MolderResolves Yes if Chaz Molder wins the Tennessee 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Tennessee Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Feb 26, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 5, 2026
Expected result
Dec 5, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 5, 2026

More Tennessee elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.