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Who will win the Florida 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

FL-14 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Kathy Castor65%
Mike Beltran32%
$3.3K vol.

About this market

Traders price Kathy Castor at 65% to win, ahead of Mike Beltran at 32%.

The market has $3.3K in volume across 63 trades; the most recent was on Oct 22, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 17, 2026. The result is confirmed by Florida Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Florida 14th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Kathy CastorResolves Yes if Kathy Castor wins the Florida 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Mike BeltranResolves Yes if Mike Beltran wins the Florida 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Florida Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 17, 2026
Expected result
Nov 17, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 17, 2026

More Florida elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.