Senate
Who will win the Florida special election for US Senate in 2026?
Florida Senate Special Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
Ashley Moody96%
Angie Nixon13%$644 vol.
About this market
Traders price Ashley Moody at 96% to win, ahead of Angie Nixon at 13%.
The market has $644 in volume across 18 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 17, 2026. The result is confirmed by Florida Secretary of State Elections Division.
This race determines the outcome of the special election for US Senate in Florida, shaping national legislative representation.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Ashley MoodyResolves Yes if Ashley Moody wins the Florida special election for US Senate in 2026.
- Angie NixonResolves Yes if Angie Nixon wins the Florida special election for US Senate in 2026.
Result confirmed by Florida Secretary of State Elections Division.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 17, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 17, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 17, 2026
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6.9K open interest
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.