Who will win the Florida 17th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
FL-17 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
About this market
Traders price Greg Steube at 90% to win, ahead of Matthew Montavon at 11%.
The market has $476 in volume across 8 trades; the most recent was on Apr 19, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 17, 2026. The result is confirmed by Florida Secretary of State Elections Division.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Florida 17th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Greg SteubeResolves Yes if Greg Steube wins the Florida 17th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Matthew MontavonResolves Yes if Matthew Montavon wins the Florida 17th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by Florida Secretary of State Elections Division.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 17, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 17, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 17, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.