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Who will win the Florida 26th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

FL-26 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Mario Diaz-Balart89%
Nicole Locklin12%
$362 vol.

About this market

Traders price Mario Diaz-Balart at 89% to win, ahead of Nicole Locklin at 12%.

The market has $362 in volume across 5 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 17, 2026. The result is confirmed by Florida Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Florida 26th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Mario Diaz-BalartResolves Yes if Mario Diaz-Balart wins the Florida 26th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Nicole LocklinResolves Yes if Nicole Locklin wins the Florida 26th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Florida Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 17, 2026
Expected result
Nov 17, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 17, 2026

More Florida elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.