House
Who will win the California 32nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
CA-32 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
Brad Sherman93%
Larry Thompson6%$535 vol.
About this market
Traders price Brad Sherman at 93% to win, ahead of Larry Thompson at 6%.
The market has $535 in volume across 14 trades; the most recent was on Sep 18, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 11, 2026. The result is confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in California 32nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Brad ShermanResolves Yes if Brad Sherman wins the California 32nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Larry ThompsonResolves Yes if Larry Thompson wins the California 32nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.
- Trading opened
- Feb 25, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 11, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 11, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 11, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.