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Who will win the California 38th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

CA-38 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

  • Hilda SolisDemocratic
    —
    YesNo
  • Pedro CasasRepublican
    —
    YesNo

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Dec 11, 2026. The result is confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in California 38th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Hilda SolisResolves Yes if Hilda Solis wins the California 38th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Pedro CasasResolves Yes if Pedro Casas wins the California 38th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
May 8, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 11, 2026
Expected result
Dec 11, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 11, 2026

More California elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.