Congress
US House of Representatives Control November 2026
US House of Representatives Control November 2026 · November 2026 · Trading open
$2.1M vol.
About this market
Traders price Democratic at 92%, ahead of Republicans at 9%.
The market has $2.1M in volume across 3,237 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 4, 2027. The result is confirmed by United States Congress.
The underlying is the political party whose members control at least 218 seats in the US House of Representatives on January 3rd of the year following a Congressional election. The list of US Representatives at the convening of each Congress is published January 4th on Congress.gov.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- DemocraticResolves Yes if the Democratic Party wins a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election.
- RepublicanResolves Yes if the Republican Party wins a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election.
Result confirmed by United States Congress.
- Trading opened
- Feb 17, 2025
- Trading closes
- Jan 4, 2027
- Expected result
- Jan 4, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 4, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.