US Senate Majority November 2026
US Senate Majority November 2026 · November 2026 · Trading open
About this market
Traders price Democratic at 68%, ahead of Republicans at 35%.
The market has $361.5K in volume across 888 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 4, 2027. The result is confirmed by United States Congress.
Which party will be the Majority party in the Senate after a given election.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- DemocraticResolves Yes if the Democratic Party wins a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election.
- RepublicanResolves Yes if the Republican Party wins a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election.
Result confirmed by United States Congress.
- Trading opened
- Nov 29, 2024
- Trading closes
- Jan 4, 2027
- Expected result
- Jan 4, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 4, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.