Major Weather Events
What will the number of major hurricanes in the Atlantic be?
Atlantic Major Hurricanes October 2026 · October 2026 · Trading open
$10.6K vol.
About this market
Traders price Above 0 at 96%, ahead of Above 1 at 4%.
The market has $10.6K in volume across 48 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 1, 2026. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
This Contract resolves based on the official number of hurricanes that attain Category 3 or higher intensity (maximum sustained winds of at least 64 knots (74 mph)) in the Atlantic during the specified month, as reported by the National Hurricane Center ("NHC") a division of NOAA.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 0Resolves Yes if the number of major hurricanes in the Atlantic exceeds 0 in October 2026.
- Above 1Resolves Yes if the number of major hurricanes in the Atlantic exceeds 1 in October 2026.
- Above 2Resolves Yes if the number of major hurricanes in the Atlantic exceeds 2 in October 2026.
- Above 3Resolves Yes if the number of major hurricanes in the Atlantic exceeds 3 in October 2026.
Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
- Trading opened
- Aug 5, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 1, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 1, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 1, 2026
More Atlantic Major Hurricanes markets
Other dates in this series
+2 more · 1.1K open interest
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.