Major Weather Events
What will the number of Tornado reports be?
US Monthly Tornados October 2026 · October 2026 · Trading open
$337 vol.
About this market
Traders price Above 40 at 94%, ahead of Above 20 at 90%.
The market has $337 in volume across 56 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 2, 2026. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The number of tornado storm reports in the US as reported by the NOAA SPC in the Preliminary Report Summary.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 40Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 40 in the US during October 2026.
- Above 20Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 20 in the US during October 2026.
- Above 30Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 30 in the US during October 2026.
- Above 60Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 60 in the US during October 2026.
- Above 50Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 50 in the US during October 2026.
- Above 70Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 70 in the US during October 2026.
Show rules for all 8 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 10Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 10 in the US during October 2026.
- Above 90Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 90 in the US during October 2026.
Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
- Trading opened
- Aug 5, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 2, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 2, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 2, 2026
More US Monthly Tornados markets
Other dates in this series
+5 more US Monthly Tornados
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.