Major Weather Events
What will the number of Tornado reports be?
US Monthly Tornados December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Jan 1, 2027. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The number of tornado storm reports in the US as reported by the NOAA SPC in the Preliminary Report Summary.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 10Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 10 in the US during December 2026.
- Above 20Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 20 in the US during December 2026.
- Above 30Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 30 in the US during December 2026.
- Above 40Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 40 in the US during December 2026.
- Above 50Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 50 in the US during December 2026.
- Above 60Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 60 in the US during December 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 70Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 70 in the US during December 2026.
Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
- Trading opened
- Sep 2, 2026
- Trading closes
- Jan 1, 2027
- Expected result
- Jan 1, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 1, 2027
More US Monthly Tornados markets
Other dates in this series
+6 more · 209 open interest US Monthly Tornados
Closes Dec 1, 2026
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.