Open an account
Major Weather Events

What will tropical storms in the Atlantic be?

Atlantic Tropical Storms December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$50.5K vol.
Show all 12 outcomes
  • Above 2
    —
    Closed
  • Above 3
    —
    Closed
  • Above 4
    —
    Closed
  • Above 5
    —
    Closed

About this market

Traders price Above 8 at 97%, ahead of Above 6 at 94%.

The market has $50.5K in volume across 122 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 1, 2027. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The number of storms in the Atlantic Ocean that attain maximum sustained wind speeds of at least 39 mph during the specified calendar year, as reported by the National Hurricane Center, a division of NOAA.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 8Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 8 in 2026.
  • Above 6Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 6 in 2026.
  • Above 7Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 7 in 2026.
  • Above 9Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 9 in 2026.
  • Above 10Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 10 in 2026.
  • Above 12Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 12 in 2026.
Show rules for all 12 outcomes
  • Above 14Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 14 in 2026.
  • Above 16Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 16 in 2026.
  • Above 2Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 2 in 2026.
  • Above 3Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 3 in 2026.
  • Above 4Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 4 in 2026.
  • Above 5Resolves Yes if tropical storms in the Atlantic exceeds 5 in 2026.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Trading opened
Jul 16, 2026
Trading closes
Jan 1, 2027
Expected result
Jan 1, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 1, 2027

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.