Major Weather Events

What will the number of Tornado reports be?

US Monthly Tornados January 2027 · January 2027 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

  • Above 5
    No trades yet
  • Above 10
    No trades yet
  • Above 15
    No trades yet
  • Above 20
    No trades yet
  • Above 25
    No trades yet
  • Above 30
    No trades yet
  • Above 35
    No trades yet

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Feb 1, 2027, 10:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The number of tornado storm reports in the US as reported by the NOAA SPC in the Preliminary Report Summary. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/weather.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 5Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 5 in the US during January 2027? (severe weather) (twisters) (storm reports).
  • Above 10Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 10 in the US during January 2027? (severe weather) (twisters) (storm reports).
  • Above 15Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 15 in the US during January 2027? (severe weather) (twisters) (storm reports).
  • Above 20Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 20 in the US during January 2027? (severe weather) (twisters) (storm reports).
  • Above 25Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 25 in the US during January 2027? (severe weather) (twisters) (storm reports).
  • Above 30Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 30 in the US during January 2027? (severe weather) (twisters) (storm reports).
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 35Resolves Yes if the number of Tornado reports exceeds 35 in the US during January 2027? (severe weather) (twisters) (storm reports).

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Trading opened
Nov 2, 2026
Trading closes
Feb 1, 2027, 10:00 AM ET
Expected result
Feb 1, 2027
Expected payout
Feb 1, 2027

More US Monthly Tornados markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.