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Major Weather Events

Hurricane Count Atlantic Basin December 2026

Hurricane Count Atlantic Basin December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading closed

$7K vol.
  • 1$5.4K vol.
    89%
    Closed
  • 3$950 vol.
    14%
    Closed
  • 5$587 vol.
    8%
    Closed
  • 7$55 vol.
    8%
    Closed
  • 9$11 vol.
    5%
    Closed
  • 11$7 vol.
    1%
    Closed
  • 12
    —
    Closed

About this market

Traders last priced 1 at 89%, ahead of 3 at 14%.

The market has $7K in volume across 127 trades; the most recent was on Oct 8, 2026.

Trading closed on Oct 9, 2026. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Number of hurricanes classified as Category 1 or higher (sustained winds of at least 64 knots) that form in the Atlantic Basin during the contract year.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 1Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will at least 1 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026? (Tropical storms) (Cyclones) (Storm seaso)?” is yes.
  • 3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will at least 3 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?” is yes.
  • 5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will at least 5 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?” is yes.
  • 7Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will at least 7 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?” is yes.
  • 9Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will at least 9 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?” is yes.
  • 11Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will at least 11 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?” is yes.
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • 12Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will at least 12 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?” is yes.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Trading opened
Apr 2, 2026
Trading closed
Oct 9, 2026
Expected result
Oct 9, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 31, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.