Major Weather Events
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by September 30, 2027?
Category 4 Hurricane in the US 2027 · Sep 30, 2027 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for it.
Trading closes on Oct 1, 2027. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
This Contract resolves based on whether any Category 4 hurricane makes landfall in the United States by the specified date, as reported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ("NOAA"). A Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline.
Rules and timeline
A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.
- By September 30, 2027Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by September 30, 2027?” is yes.
Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
- Trading opened
- Jul 16, 2026
- Trading closes
- Oct 1, 2027
- Expected result
- Oct 1, 2027
- Expected payout
- Oct 1, 2027
More Category 4 Hurricane in the US markets
Other dates in this series
1.3K open interest Category 4 Hurricane in the US
Closes Nov 30, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.