Artificial Intelligence
Top AI Model October 31 2026
Top AI Model 2026 · Oct 31, 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Oct 31, 2026. The result is confirmed by LMArena.
The overall ranking of the specified AI model on the LM Arena leaderboard
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- claude-fable-5-highResolves Yes if claude-fable-5-high is ranked as the best AI in October 2026? (LLM) (leaderboard) (model rankings).
- claude-fable-5.1-maxResolves Yes if claude-fable-5.1-max is ranked as the best AI in October 2026? (LLM) (leaderboard) (model rankings).
- claude-opus-4-6-highResolves Yes if claude-opus-4-6-high is ranked as the best AI in October 2026? (LLM) (leaderboard) (model rankings).
- claude-opus-4-7-highResolves Yes if claude-opus-4-7-high is ranked as the best AI in October 2026? (LLM) (leaderboard) (model rankings).
- gemini-3.8-flash-highResolves Yes if gemini-3.8-flash-high is ranked as the best AI in October 2026? (LLM) (leaderboard) (model rankings).
- muse-spark-1.2 (xHigh)Resolves Yes if muse-spark-1.2 (xHigh) is ranked as the best AI in October 2026? (LLM) (leaderboard) (model rankings).
Result confirmed by LMArena.
- Trading opened
- Sep 25, 2026
- Trading closes
- Oct 31, 2026
- Expected result
- Oct 31, 2026
- Expected payout
- Oct 31, 2026
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.