Artificial Intelligence
Best AI Base Model October 31 2026
Best AI Base Model 2026 · Oct 31, 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Oct 31, 2026. The result is confirmed by LMArena.
The underlying is the base model who holds the top position on the LM Arena, Text Arena leaderboard.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- ChatGPTResolves Yes if ChatGPT is the best AI at the end of October 2026? (LLM) (artificial intelligence) (leaderboard).
- ClaudeResolves Yes if Claude is the best AI at the end of October 2026? (LLM) (artificial intelligence) (leaderboard).
- GeminiResolves Yes if Gemini is the best AI at the end of October 2026? (LLM) (artificial intelligence) (leaderboard).
- GrokResolves Yes if Grok is the best AI at the end of October 2026? (LLM) (artificial intelligence) (leaderboard).
- MuseResolves Yes if Muse is the best AI at the end of October 2026? (LLM) (artificial intelligence) (leaderboard).
Result confirmed by LMArena.
- Trading opened
- Sep 25, 2026
- Trading closes
- Oct 31, 2026
- Expected result
- Oct 31, 2026
- Expected payout
- Oct 31, 2026
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Other dates in this series
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.