Open an account
Prices & Inflation

What will US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores be?

US Retail Sales of Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, and Book Stores December 2027 · December 2027 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

Show all 10 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jan 13, 2028. The result is confirmed by US Census Bureau.

The seasonally adjusted monthly sales figure for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores, as published in the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 10000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 10,000 million dollars in December 2027? (recreation retail) (hobby shops) (consumer spending).
  • 10400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 10,400 million dollars in December 2027? (recreation retail) (hobby shops) (consumer spending).
  • 10800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 10,800 million dollars in December 2027? (recreation retail) (hobby shops) (consumer spending).
  • 7200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 7,200 million dollars in December 2027? (recreation retail) (hobby shops) (consumer spending).
  • 7600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 7,600 million dollars in December 2027? (recreation retail) (hobby shops) (consumer spending).
  • 8000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 8,000 million dollars in December 2027? (recreation retail) (hobby shops) (consumer spending).
Show rules for all 10 outcomes
  • 8400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 8,400 million dollars in December 2027? (recreation retail) (hobby shops) (consumer spending).
  • 8800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 8,800 million dollars in December 2027? (recreation retail) (hobby shops) (consumer spending).
  • 9200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 9,200 million dollars in December 2027? (recreation retail) (hobby shops) (consumer spending).
  • 9600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 9,600 million dollars in December 2027? (recreation retail) (hobby shops) (consumer spending).

Result confirmed by US Census Bureau.

Trading opened
Oct 15, 2026
Trading closes
Jan 13, 2028
Expected result
Jan 13, 2028
Expected payout
Jan 13, 2028

More US Retail Sales of Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, and Book Stores markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.