Open an account
Prices & Inflation

What will US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores be?

US Retail Sales of Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, and Book Stores December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$1.6K vol.
Show all 11 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 8200 at 98%, ahead of 8600 at 97%.

The market has $1.6K in volume across 416 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 14, 2027. The result is confirmed by US Census Bureau.

The seasonally adjusted monthly sales figure for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores, as published in the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 8200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 8,200 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 8600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 8,600 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 8400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 8,400 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 7600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 7,600 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 8800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 8,800 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 7800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 7,800 million dollars in December 2026.
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • 9000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 9,000 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 8000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 8,000 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 9200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 9,200 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 7400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 7,400 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 9400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceeds 9,400 million dollars in December 2026.

Result confirmed by US Census Bureau.

Trading opened
Oct 13, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 14, 2027
Expected result
Jan 14, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 14, 2027

More US Retail Sales of Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, and Book Stores markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.