Hello Group

MOMO · NASDAQ

$4.50−$0.04 (−0.88%)TodayMarket closed · Oct 23, 7:30 PM ET

Prev close $4.54

MOMO analyst rating

BuyConsensus of 1 analyst over the last 12 months. 100% rate it a buy.

Strong buy0
Buy1
Hold0
Underperform0
Sell0

12-month price target · 9 analysts

Average $7.78 (+72.9% upside)

Low: $6.78
Now: $4.50
High: $9.66

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

MOMO analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
Firm	Date	Action	Rating	Price target	Hit rate
StoneX	Sep 4, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$10.00 → $8.00	48%

The case for and against

Updated Nov 29, 2024

Bull case

Hello Group Inc has demonstrated a substantial improvement in its financial metrics, highlighted by a Non-GAAP operating margin of 22.2%, which reflects a 658 basis point year-over-year increase due to effective cost control measures. Additionally, despite facing revenue pressures, the company’s overseas segment has grown to approximately 14% of total group revenue and has become profitable within three years, signaling positive momentum in international markets. The strategic emphasis on international expansion positions Hello Group Inc favorably for long-term growth, suggesting potential for recovery and increased profitability in the future.

Bear case

Hello Group Inc's stock faces a negative outlook primarily due to disappointing fiscal year 2024 guidance, which indicates significant revenue declines across key service lines. The company projects a year-over-year revenue drop of 12.4% to 15.5% for the second quarter of 2024, reflecting broader struggles with its Momo and Tantan platforms, particularly in live streaming and value-added services. Additionally, the overall revenue estimate for FY24 has been revised down to RMB 10.5 billion, marking a 12% decrease, with specific declines anticipated in live streaming and core services contributing to this unfavorable financial trajectory.

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