Open an account
Interest Rates

10-Year Treasury Yield Forecast Contract November 6 2026

10-Year Treasury Yield 2026 · Nov 6, 2026 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Nov 6, 2026. The result is confirmed by U.S. Federal Reserve.

The yield for the 10-Year Treasury Note as published in the H.15 Selected Interest Rates (Daily) Report by the Federal Reserve.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 5.1%Resolves Yes if the yield for the 10-Year Treasury Note is above 5.1% on November 6, 2026? (interest rates) (bond market) (fixed income).
  • Above 5.15%Resolves Yes if the yield for the 10-Year Treasury Note is above 5.15% on November 6, 2026? (interest rates) (bond market) (fixed income).
  • Above 5.2%Resolves Yes if the yield for the 10-Year Treasury Note is above 5.2% on November 6, 2026? (interest rates) (bond market) (fixed income).
  • Above 5.25%Resolves Yes if the yield for the 10-Year Treasury Note is above 5.25% on November 6, 2026? (interest rates) (bond market) (fixed income).
  • Above 5.3%Resolves Yes if the yield for the 10-Year Treasury Note is above 5.3% on November 6, 2026? (interest rates) (bond market) (fixed income).
  • Above 5.35%Resolves Yes if the yield for the 10-Year Treasury Note is above 5.35% on November 6, 2026? (interest rates) (bond market) (fixed income).
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 5.4%Resolves Yes if the yield for the 10-Year Treasury Note is above 5.4% on November 6, 2026? (interest rates) (bond market) (fixed income).

Result confirmed by U.S. Federal Reserve.

Trading opened
Oct 15, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 6, 2026
Expected result
Nov 9, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 9, 2026

More 10-Year Treasury Yield markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.