Interest Rates

Canada Overnight Rate October 28 2026

Canada Overnight Rate 2026 · Oct 28, 2026 · Trading open

$826 vol.

About this market

Traders price Above 1.5% at 98%, ahead of Above 2% at 98%.

The market has $826 in volume across 147 trades; the most recent was on Oct 21, 2026.

Trading closes on Oct 28, 2026. The result is confirmed by Bank of Canada.

The Overnight Rate is the interest rate major banks charge for overnight loans to one another and is an important interest rate in the Canadian economy because it impacts the cost of borrowing for businesses and consumers and inflation.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if the Canada Overnight Rate target is set above 1.5% at the Governing Council meeting ending October 28 2026.
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if the Canada Overnight Rate target is set above 2% at the Governing Council meeting ending October 28 2026.
  • Above 1.25%Resolves Yes if the Canada Overnight Rate target is set above 1.25% at the Governing Council meeting ending October 28 2026.
  • Above 1.75%Resolves Yes if the Canada Overnight Rate target is set above 1.75% at the Governing Council meeting ending October 28 2026.
  • Above 2.25%Resolves Yes if the Canada Overnight Rate target is set above 2.25% at the Governing Council meeting ending October 28 2026.
  • Above 2.75%Resolves Yes if the Canada Overnight Rate target is set above 2.75% at the Governing Council meeting ending October 28 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 2.5%Resolves Yes if the Canada Overnight Rate target is set above 2.5% at the Governing Council meeting ending October 28 2026.

Result confirmed by Bank of Canada.

Trading opened
Jul 15, 2026
Trading closes
Oct 28, 2026
Expected result
Oct 28, 2026
Expected payout
Oct 28, 2026

More Canada Overnight Rate markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.